Everyone loves spouting doom and gloom for Wii U, but the numerous financial analysts in the video game industry are truly making a career of it. The latest group to throw its thoughts into the ring is DFC Intelligence, though depending on how you look at it, its numbers aren’t really all that bad.
DFC Intelligence is predicting that Wii U will fall far short of the Wii’s sales, 75 percent less to be precise. Thankfully, it is really easy to do the math, because Wii has sold just over 100 million units. So that would place the group’s Wii U estimate at 25 million units throughout the system’s lifetime. Furthermore, DFC adds that the console “is expected to be mainly a system for Nintendo first-party software.”
While the general consensus on these predictions is that they are very negative on Nintendo’s latest console, I must admit that I do not think this is particular estimate is really all that bad. Sure, if you are of the prevailing mindset that every console generation is a brutal battle to the death where the losers are doomed to some horrific fate, then I can see why you might be upset as a Nintendo fan. However, if you just want a console to have good games and make the manufacturer its money back to keep it in business, then this isn’t too bad because DFC Intelligence is effectively saying that Wii U will be this generation’s GameCube, with even the total sales figures being similar. And what can we say about GameCube? We remember it for its collection of fantastic Nintendo games and it was profitable for Nintendo. Granted, Nintendo sold each GameCube for a profit, so the only real question is what the necessary attach rate would be to make Wii U profitable in the wake of its price drop.
I think we all want Nintendo to grow and gain new fans, but in the short term I’m more than happy to play a selection of great games while Nintendo continues to make enough money to stay in the console game.